Bears score big gains in $EFA

Bearish option traders have made exponential returns on their money in downside positions in the global iShares MSCI EAFE Fund (EFA). On Aug. 16, Market Rebellion’s Unusual Activity Service flagged the purchase of 10,000 Weekly $64 puts, expiring this Friday, as part of a complex bearish spread for $1.00 with shares at $66.05. This was clearly […]

Mid-session IV Report September 26, 2022

Mid-session IV Report September 26, 2022 The following report is a snapshot of noteworthy changes in stock and option volumes, as well as changes in option implied volatilities. By -this often over looked information. Option IV increases: EVTL SAVA ICPT TWTR MPW UPS OKE CMG STWD UPS GPRO Popular stocks with increasing volume: COIN LVS […]

Pre-Market IV Report September 26, 2022

Pre-Market IV Report September 26, 2022 The following report is a snapshot of noteworthy changes in stock and option volumes, as well as changes in option implied volatilities. By monitoring this market data, traders can create strategies that capitalize on this often over looked information Options with increasing option implied volatility: NLY SAVA TWTR VTRS […]

The Growing Divide Between Monetary Policy and Energy Reality

Key Points Central banks at home and abroad use blunt tools like rate hikes to hammer demand, actively weakening the economy If the Fed gets its way: Roughly 4 million jobs will be lost U.S. GDP growth in 2022 will be a flat 0.2% The economy may spiral into a recession This isn’t as nefarious […]

Goldman Sachs Cuts S&P 500 Price Target By 16%

A few facts about where we stand for the remainder of the year. There are: 68 trading days left in 2022 5 trading days left until Q4 3 CPI reports (10/13, 11/10, 12/10) 2 FOMC meetings (11/02, 12/14) Between 100 and 125 basis points of rate hikes to come before the end of the year Several of Wall Street’s top firms, like JPMorgan, Fundstrat, BMO, and more still […]

Mid-session IV Report September 23, 2022

Mid-session IV Report September 23, 2022 The following report is a snapshot of noteworthy changes in stock and option volumes, as well as changes in option implied volatilities. By -this often over looked information. Option IV increases: SAVA TWTR IBM PI VIX KOS BP HES EOG PSX PXD Popular stocks with increasing volume: COST FDX […]

Pre-Market IV Report September 23, 2022

Pre-Market IV Report September 23, 2022 The following report is a snapshot of noteworthy changes in stock and option volumes, as well as changes in option implied volatilities. By monitoring this market data, traders can create strategies that capitalize on this often over looked information Options with increasing option implied volatility: COST CLNN RLMD AVCT […]

FOMC & CPI Analysis: How Much Does the Fed Move the Market?

FOMC

_ Fast Fed Facts Fed Day = Red Day? 60% of all Fed-influenced events in 2022 have resulted in negative S&P 500 closes When only closes >±1% are considered, 54.5% of S&P 500 closes were negative The average absolute move on Fed-influenced days in 2022 is ±1.82% FOMC meetings often yield larger S&P 500 moves […]

$CANO option bulls triple money

Bullish option traders are turning profits today in upside positions opened on Cano Health Inc (CANO). On Jul. 28, Market Rebellion’s Unusual Option Activity Service found that 5,000 October $6 calls were bought for $1.10 as part of a bullish spread and roll with shares at $6.08, above the contract’s existing open interest of 710. Those calls traded […]

Ride with the Rebels Newsletter: 9/22

Record: 15-19-2 (0.04U) The Chargers choked away what should have been a nice payout last Thursday and the Panthers are worse than we thought, but we’re on to this week. September 24: UEFA Nations League- Switzerland & Czech Republic To kick off the weekend, we’ve got two smaller bets for the UEFA Nations League. Both […]