Trading Insights
Inflation Rose, Stocks Rose, Yields Fell: Why Markets are Happy with August CPI
Typically, hot inflation numbers lead to a market selloff and a yield raly. Today the opposite happened. Here’s why.
September 13, 2023
Typically, hot inflation numbers lead to a market selloff and a yield raly. Today the opposite happened. Here’s why.
May CPI came in at 4.0%, 0.1% better than expected, the 11th consecutive month of falling year-over-year CPI.
The Fed’s ultimate goal has always been the dual mandate — the economic goals of maximum employment and price stability. But at what cost? Recent developments have led some to believe the Fed will be taking a softer touch during next week’s meeting.
JPMorgan and Tom Lee say buckle up — the November CPI is going to take us 10% higher. Morgan Stanley analyst Mike Wilson thinks its time to fade the rally and brace for double digit declines early next year — due in part to faltering earnings. But who’s right? This week may hold the key.
Save the date: The December economic calendar is a busy one. Here are 5 stock market dates traders must-know heading into the X-mas season.
In the midst of a >2% down day, the smart money was betting big on a swift reversal in two ad-sensitive names.
October inflation: cooler than expected. Stocks: On fire. Today’s CPI result all but insures that the Fed will slow the pace of rate hikes.
US Payrolls are in, unemployment AND wages are both higher than expected, and markets are… not sure how they feel about it. Higher unemployment means the Fed is closer to realizing its goal of a “softer” labor market — but with wages continuing to rise, battling the problem of wage-flation could become a drawn out affair. A Fed that wants higher unemployment and lower wages may sound awful, but they believe they’re doing the right thing. Read on to discover their reasoning.
Market Rebellion Co-Founders Jon and Pete Najarian talk about how China’s new inhalable vaccine could help give a much-needed pop to unusual option activity target Las Vegas Sands.
The Fed raises rates 75 basis points in November, and introduces new language that may set the foundation for smaller rate hikes in the future.
Fed day, red day? Not always — on average, the FOMC has generated positive day-of returns for the S&P 500. But with the SPX fighting to maintain at a crucial battleground ($3,900), will it be so lucky this time around?
The CPI report has a tendency of generating large market moves. Here’s how the market has reacted in 2022, and 3 ways you could trade it.
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