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Morning Note - 08/14/26: 7800 By The Close?

By Jack Bahrenburg | Market Rebellion · August 14, 2026

Overnight Summary and Early Morning Trading:

  • The S&P 500 finished Thursday higher by 0.65% at 7798.99 from Wednesday higher by 0.26% at 7748.50.
  • The S&P 500 sees support now at 7700 from 7600. Resistance is now at 7800 from 7700. In the last four months, support has moved from 6300 to 7700.
  • Bond Market is lower today on price with the 10-Year Yield at 4.709% from 4.668%.

Executive Summary:

  • Stocks are now in a two-week winning streak, with the S&P 500 rising 3.58% in the last week, ended 8/7.
  • U.S. moves into Week 25 of its attack on Iran, almost six months. Now we are back to negotiating a deal with Iran.
  • The S&P 500 is now on a 2 day win streak.

Key Geopolitical Events of Note:

  • Economic news of note.
    • Weekly - Baker Hughes Rig Count of note.
    • Monthly –  Retail Sales and University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment of note.
  • President Trump’s schedule:
    • Participates in Executive Time at 8:00 a.m. EDT.
    • Participates in Policy Meeting at 11:00 a.m. EDT.
    • Participates in Signing Time at 12:00 p.m. EDT.
    • Delivers Remarks at 3:00 p.m. EDT in Garden City, LI at the David Mack Center For Training and Intelligence.
  • Fed Speakers of Note:  
    • Federal Reserve Richmond President Tom Barkin at 2:30 p.m. EDT.

Capital Raises of Note/Pricings:

  • IPO Filings & News: ATTO BRVE OCLT VOGX due out this week.
  • Secondaries Filed Or Priced:
    • MVIS - Launch of Proposed Public Offering.
  • Notes Filed Or Priced: None of note.
  • Convertible Offerings Filed or Priced:
    • SIMO - Closing of Upsized Offering of $1,150,000,000 of 0.00% Convertible Senior Notes due 2031 Offering includes the exercise in full of the initial purchasers’ option to purchase an additional $150 million principal amount of Notes.
  • Private Placement: None of note.
  • Direct Offering: None of note.
  • Exchangeable Subordinate Voting Shares: None of note.
  • Selling Shareholders:
    • BBIO - Launch of Secondary Offering of Common Stock on Behalf of an Existing Shareholder.
  • Mixed Shelf Offerings:
    • CPB files mixed securities shelf offering.
    • OLP files for $250 million mixed securities shelf offering.
    • CV files for $250 million mixed securities shelf offering.
    • DTSS: Form F-3.. $150,000,000 Mixed Shelf.
    • MCRB: Form S-3.. $300,000,000 Mixed Shelf.

AFTER THE CLOSE:

Earnings After The Close:

    • Beats:  AMAT+0.10, HTFL +0.06 of note.
    • Misses: GEMI -0.19, GLOB -0.10, KLC -0.02 of note.
    • Flat:  DLO QXO of note.

Movers After The Close: 

    • Winners From After The Close: CAPR +64.1%, ETON +18.4%, HTFL +15.3%, RDDT +10.5%, ACOG +10.1%, NU +8.3%,SUI +3.2%, QXO +2.4%,  of note.
    • Losers From Last Week:  INV -43.9%, TSSI -24.1%, AMPG -22.6%, VERI -22.1%, KLC -21.5%, YSS -21.1%,CBUS -15.3%, SPRY -14.8%, GLOB -13.1%,ENHA -12.4%, KULR -12.1%, MRLN -9.5%, ALMS -8.9%, SWMR -8.8%, HAWK -8.7%, CV -7.7%, VUZI -6.8%, GEMI -6.5%, NKTR -5.7%,AMAT -5.1%, DLO -2.4% of note.

News after the close:

    • Micron (MU) launches $250 million AI-focused venture fund.
    • Applied Materials (AMAT) prelim Q3 $3.50 vs $3.40 FactSet Consensus; revs $9.12 billion vs $8.99 billion FactSet Consensus.
    • Parsons (PSN) awarded $70 million Air Force air base defense task order.
    • Firefly (FLY) wins DIU contract for Elytra deorbit mission design review.
    • Tyson Foods (TSN) to close and sell more beef plants as cattle supplies remain tight.
    • Winnebago (WGO) will move towable RV production to the Grand Design campus in Middlebury, Indiana, and shift B-Van motorhome production from Lake Mills, Iowa, to Forest City, Iowa.
    • Lam Research (LRCX) to invest more than $3 billion over five years to expand global R&D lab network.
    • White House is planning to host officials from the cryptocurrency and prediction market industries next Wednesday. (Politico)
    • President Trump orders Navy to switch aircraft carriers back to steam catapults. (WSJ)
    • President Trump signs proclamation imposing tariffs on drones and their parts and components . (Press Release)
    • President Trump signs memo to fix critical long-term issues in Navy shipbuilding and ship repair programs and restore capacity and competition to the maritime industrial base.
    • HLIT delays 10-Q.

Executive, Corporate Changes:

    • UCB names Sean Simpson chief commercial banking officer.
    • LULU discloses that Ranju Das has ceased to serve as Chief AI & Technology Officer; co has transition plans in place for his responsibilities. 
    • SYF names Citi's Nimrod Barak chief AI officer.

Buybacks of Note:

    • ABX authorizes $100 million share repurchase program.
    • WRLD authorizes new $50 million share repurchase program. 

Dividend Changes & Ex-Dividend Stocks:

  • Stocks Going Ex-Dividend Friday RTX SHEL SCHW RIO SBUX ENB GSK DUK EQNR MCO CTAS HON TFC CRH HLN MSCI WEC HSY KR RPRX JBL LPLA OTIS SW CHD IP RS CF MGA GIB PAG IVZ AIT SJM MOGA RTO FCFS JAN PBF BAH FSS AG AGCO NXST LPX OGN WING PFS.
  • Stocks Going Ex-Dividend Monday - None of note.
  • CBOE increases quarterly cash dividend to $0.86 per share from $0.72 per share. 

What Happening This Morning:

Futures S&P 500 +5, NASDAQ 100 +54.50, Dow Jones -78. Europe is higher ex FTSE while Asia is lower ex Japan. Bond yield is at 4.657% from 4.67% on the 10-Year. Crude Oil and Brent Crude are mixed with Natural Gas lower. Gold, Silver and Copper are lower. The U.S. Dollar is lower versus the Euro, lower against the Pound and lower against the Yen. Bitcoin is at $62,794 from $63,553.

Sector Action:

  • Daily Real Estate, Technology, Industrials, Utilities and Consumer Cyclicals led the way higher
  • Daily: Healthcare, Consumer Defensive and Materials were lower.
  • One-Month Winners: Technology, Communication Services, Healthcare and Real Estate of note.
  • Three-Month Winners: Energy, Materials, Utilities, Consumer Defensive and Industrials of note.
  • Six-Month Winners: Energy, Materials, Utilities, Industrials, Healthcare and Consumer Defensive of note.
  • Twelve-Month Winners: Materials, Energy, Industrials, Utilities, Communication Services and Technology of note.
  • Year-to-Date Winners: Energy, B, Consumer Defensive, Utilities and Industrials of note.

Upcoming Earnings Of Note: (Erlanger Chartroom Software – sorted by market cap, highest to lowest with most visible names)

  • Friday After the Close: None of note
  • Monday Before the Open: None of note.

Notable Earnings of Note This Morning: 

  • Beat: None of note.
  • Missed: None of note.
  • Flat: None of note.
  • Still to Report: SIND RMIX of note.

Company Earnings Guidance:

  • Positive Guidance: After The Close & This Morning:  AMAT HTFL 
  • Mixed – GLOB KLC of none.
  • Negative or Mixed Guidance:

Advance/Decline Daily Update:

Gap Ups & Down In Early Pre-Market::

  • Gap Up: CAPR +114.8%, HTFL +25.8%, ETON +25%, RDDT +12.2%, ACOG +12.1%, NU +8.8%, ALMS +3.1%, KDK +2.6%, MU +2.4%, SUI +2.2%, QXO +2.1%, SIMO +2% of note
  • Gap Down:  INV -44.4%, AMPG -26.7%, TSSI -22.7%, VERI -20.1%, KLC -19%, CBUS -16.8%, YSS -15.7%, KULR -14.1%, SPRY -13.4%, GLOB -13.4%, ZNTL -13.1%, MRLN -8.4%, SWMR -7.4%, SVV -6.6%, RLX -6.5%, MDU -6.3%, AMAT -5.8%, GEMI -5.5%, ENHA -5%, VUZI -4.2%, API -3.5%, CAMP -1.9% of note.

Insider Action: XRN sees Insider Buying with dumb short selling. ELAN sees Insider Buying with smart short sellers. Above $100,000 in purchases with high shorts but no history: None of note.

Other Trading Action: None of note.

Rags & Mags: Repeated stories from prior days never listed, i.e. “rehashed news”. Sorted by Global, U.S. and stock specific. Bolded source means paywall.

  • Trump Announces Drone Tariffs to Bolster Supply Chains, Big Hit to China Lesser to Europe. (WSJ)
  • Kalshi Ordered to Stop Operations in Washington State. (NYT)
  • Market Wrap: Stocks Churn as US Threats Against Iran Lift Crude. (Bloomberg)
  • OpenAI Annulaized Revenues Top $40 Billion Ahead of IPO. (Bloomberg)

Economic & Geopolitical:

  • Federal Reserve Speakers of note today:
    • Federal Reserve Richmond President Tom Barkin at 2:30 p.m. EDT.
  • President Trump’s schedule for today:
    • Participates in Executive Time at 8:00 a.m. EDT.
    • Participates in Policy Meeting at 11:00 a.m. EDT.
    • Participates in Signing Time at 12:00 p.m. EDT.
    • Delivers Remarks at 3:00 p.m. EDT in Garden City, LI at the David Mack Center For Training and Intelligence.
  • Economic Data Out –
    • Monthly
      • July Retail Sales are due out at 8:30 a.m. EDT and expected to remain at 0.20%.
      • August University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment is due out at 10:00 a.m. EDT and expected to fall to 54.20 from 55.20.
    • Weekly
      • Baker Hughes are due out at 1:00 p.m. EDT.

M&A Activity & Daily: None of note.

Moving Average Table: 96% from 93% of Equities are Positive, and 64% from 28% Bonds are Positive.

Meeting & Conferences of Note:

  • Sellside Conferences: None of note.
  • Top Analyst, Investor: None of note.
  • Shareholder Meetings: AARD CVM GTBP SILO of note.
  • Fireside Chat: None of note.
  • FDA Presentation: None of note.
  • R&D Day: None of note.
  • Meetings: None of note.

Upgrades & Downgrades:

The recommendations listed below in this “Upgrade/Downgrade” section are compiled from what we believe are Tier I, II and III firms. Recommendations posted are taken from a variety of sources each day and we only post upgrades or significant initiations as well as downgrades to underweight or sell. The purpose of this posting is to make the reader aware of market-moving recommendations. 

Upgrades: DLR NERV   of note.

Downgrades: None of note.

Initiations:  Buys: AEHR of note.  Sells: None of note.