Ride with the Rebels Newsletter: 10/20

Record: 19-27-2 (-1.50U)

The Green Bay Packers are dead. Both in the NFL and to us.

October 22: UFC- Belal Muhammad vs Sean Brady  

UFC 280 is here, and it’s going to be a bloodbath. We have no clue who is going to take the main event, but we’ve got a pick for the prelims.

Belal Muhammad (+120) faces off against Sean Brady (-140) in a Welterweight bout that is sure to have some sparks. We like Muhammad at plus-money, even with Brady offering the higher upside.

Both fighters have the same arm and leg reach at 72 inches and 40 inches, respectively. Muhammad stands one inch taller than Brady at 5’ 11”. 

Brady’s biggest weakness is his stamina. Even in a three-round fight, Muhammad will be favored as the seconds tick by. If he can defend against Brady’s takedown attempts and keep the fight close quarters, we should be looking at a win via decision.

*Odds from DraftKings

Rebel’s Pick: Belal Muhammad ML (+120) @ 1U

October 23: NFL- Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers

Sometimes sportsbooks have a line that seems too good to be true. Ladies and gentlemen, we found one.

The Kansas City Chiefs are heading to San Francisco after a last-minute loss to the Buffalo Bills on Sunday. Meanwhile, the 49ers are looking to rebound after getting punched in the mouth by the rebuilding Atlanta Falcons.

The Chiefs are 2.5-point favorites and -140 on the ML. We like that spread, but we like the 1H spread even more. Chiefs are favored by one point for the first half and we’re taking that every time.

Kansas City’s offense has been humming lately and looked solid against the Bills. Wide receivers not named Travis Kelce are beginning to make more plays and the defense isn’t as bad as last year. It doesn’t hurt that Mahomes is still almost impossible to take down in the backfield, too.

The 49ers are trending up, despite the loss to the Falcons, and likely won’t be blown out by the Chiefs. They finally realized they need to get the ball to TE George Kittle more than twice a game — a good sign for the offense. Plus, they could be getting some key players on defense back this week.

While this likely won’t be a blow out, we don’t think Kansas City will struggle too much to put up some points against San Fran.

*Odds from DraftKings

Rebel’s Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -1 1H (-110) @ 1U

Bonus Pick

Just for fun, we’re throwing in a bonus pick for Saturday’s Premier League match between Chelsea and Manchester United.

We’re expecting things to get tense between both clubs and tempers could flare.

At +350, we’re throwing half a unit on there to be a red card.

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